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Bond pricing and yield

Value a bond as the present value of its coupons and face value, and read the inverse relationship between price and yield.

9 min readUpdated

A loan you can sell

A bond is a loan split into tradable pieces. The issuer promises a stream of coupon payments and the return of face value at maturity. The holder can sell it before maturity, so its price moves as market interest rates move.

A bond's price is the present value of everything it will pay, discounted at the yield the market demands for that risk and maturity. Nothing about the coupon changes; only the discount rate does.

That is why price and yield move in opposite directions. When market yields rise, the fixed coupons are worth less today, so the price falls. This is interest-rate risk.

Key points

  • Coupons and face value are contractual; the yield is set by the market.
  • Price is the present value of those cash flows at the market yield.
  • Price falls when yield rises, and rises when yield falls.

Pricing and reading a bond

Bond price

P = Σ [C ÷ (1 + y)ᵗ] + F ÷ (1 + y)ⁿ

The present value of every coupon plus the present value of face value, discounted at the yield to maturity.

C
Coupon payment per period
F
Face value repaid at maturity
y
Yield to maturity
n
Number of periods to maturity
Current yield

Current yield = Annual coupon ÷ Price

The income return, ignoring any gain or loss at maturity.

Par, premium, and discount

Coupon = y → par; Coupon > y → premium; Coupon < y → discount

The relationship that tells you which way the bond trades.

Approximate price change

ΔP ÷ P ≈ −Modified duration × Δy

A first-order estimate of how much price moves for a small change in yield.

Yield to maturity is the single rate that makes the present value of all cash flows equal the market price. It assumes coupons are reinvested at that same rate, which is an approximation rather than a promise.

A 10-year bond at a 9% yield

Consider a bond with a ৳1,000 face value, a 7% coupon, and 10 years to maturity. The coupon is ৳70 a year; the market yield is 9%.

Discounting the ten coupons and the face value at 9% gives a price of ৳871.65. Because the 7% coupon is below the 9% yield, the bond trades at a discount of ৳128.35. The current yield is ৳70 ÷ ৳871.65 = 8.03%, and the holder also picks up the pull to par as maturity approaches.

If the yield were 7%, the price would be exactly ৳1,000. If it were 5%, the bond would trade at a premium. The coupon sets the cash flows; the yield sets the value.

Key points

  • Price ৳871.65, a ৳128.35 discount to face value.
  • Current yield 8.03% is below the 9% yield to maturity.
  • Coupon below yield always means a discount.

Reading rate expectations through bonds

Two things drive how much a bond's price moves when yields change: maturity and coupon. Longer maturities and lower coupons concentrate value in distant cash flows, which are discounted more heavily, so they are more sensitive. A 20-year low-coupon bond swings far more than a 2-year high-coupon bond.

An investor who expects rates to fall wants high sensitivity, because falling yields produce larger capital gains. An investor who expects rates to rise, or who simply wants to protect capital, wants low sensitivity.

Credit risk is separate from interest-rate risk. A widening credit spread raises the yield the market demands and lowers the price even if the risk-free rate is unchanged. Always ask which yield component moved, and why.

Key points

  • Long maturity plus low coupon equals high sensitivity.
  • Expecting rate cuts argues for higher duration, and vice versa.
  • Separate interest-rate moves from credit-spread moves.

Take it into the Lab

Experiment with the same idea.

The Lab turns this topic into a workspace: change the drivers, watch the statements move, and see the consequence before you commit to a decision.

Sources & further reading

OpenStax · Principles of Finance, Fixed Income chapter ↗

Educational sample content. Worked examples use hypothetical figures. Dates refer to the note's latest content update.

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