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Finance Archive

Curriculum

Modelling & Decisions

From a linked forecast to a defensible choiceBuild a forecast where the three statements hold together, then confront the judgement that no model can remove. This is the path from technical skill to decision quality.

Modules
2
Chapters
4
Concepts
4
Study time
90 min

Who it is for

Analysts, founders, and anyone who has to defend a number

By the end you can

You can build an integrated forecast that balances, explain the difference between profit and cash, and design a process that limits the cost of predictable bias.

  1. 1

    Building the model

    Drivers, integration, and the balance check that keeps it honest.

    Intermediate50 min
    1. 1.1

      Integrated statements

      Turn drivers into a forecast that balances and explains its own cash.

      Financial modelling
    2. 1.2

      Profit versus cash

      Why growth consumes working capital and capex.

      Working capital management
  2. 2

    Judgement under uncertainty

    The biases that survive a good model, and how to design around them.

    Intermediate40 min
    1. 2.1

      Behavioural bias

      Loss aversion, anchoring, overconfidence, and present bias.

      Behavioural finance and bias
    2. 2.2

      Deciding well

      Process, base rates, and the decision journal.

      Financial risk management